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April 16, 2014

Obama’s Disregard of Europe Haunts the Response to the Crimea Crisis

Even a strong leader with an unrivaled record of attention
to European sensibilities and an unchallenged reputation for standing resolved
in a crisis would struggle to marshal a robust response to Russia’s provocation
in the Ukraine. President Obama’s ongoing struggles thus far to muster such a united
front, despite a slow ratcheting up of sanctions, owes as much to Europe’s own
contradictory
incentives
 as it does to Obama’s weakness as a leader.

It is also true, however, as Scott Wilson underscores in
his piece
 on Biden’s trip to Eastern Europe, that Obama’s contradictory
record has complicated matters. And by record, I mean not only Obama’s policy
actions but also his campaign rhetoric, which he has allowed to contaminate his
governing rhetoric.

In his piece, Wilson recounts Obama’s campaign-era talking
points about Bush-era foreign policy: “Obama believed upon taking office
that it was his immediate predecessor’s go-it-alone approach, particularly in
Iraq, that worried traditional U.S. allies in Europe and beyond.”

Wilson is right that Obama did, and has continued to, talk
that way, and he may even be right that Obama believes it to be true. But, of
course, that is not true — President George W. Bush had the opposite of a “go-it-alone
approach,” especially in Iraq. Far from going alone, Bush mustered a large
number of allies — the much-derided “coalition of the willing” —
who actually risked the lives of their troops in Iraq and, in too many cases,
paid the human toll with combat casualties. Yet Obama and his aides repeatedly
mocked or disregarded these sacrifices by claiming Bush conducted the Iraq war
unilaterally, without any allies.

What do the following European countries have in common:
Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Hungary, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania,
Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Turkey, Ukraine, and United Kingdom?

  1. 1. Their contribution to the Iraq war has been alternately
    mocked or ignored by the Obama Administration.
  2. 2. They are some of the countries that Obama must now
    persuade to impose serious sanctions on Putin.
  3. 3. They are most of the countries that Obama must reassure
    that he will stand firm with them against Russia, should Putin’s ambitions
    range beyond seizing the Crimea.

Wilson also reminds us of Obama’s boast about repairing
transatlantic relations. As anyone who has interacted with European
policymakers knows, those relations have in fact suffered considerably in the
past five years, and well before the Snowden leaks took them to a new depth. Obama’s
personal celebrity boosted approval ratings but masked the underlying tensions,
which were readily apparent and reportable.

Moreover, this is not the only bit of Obama campaign
rhetoric that was rewarded back in the day but now, in hindsight, looks
painfully unfortunate. The Post’s Fact Checker was bestirred to call
out Obama’s mocking and tendentious dismissal of Governor Mitt Romney’s
concerns about Russia as a geopolitical foe. And, of course, Putin’s actions
now seem to confirm Republican complaints about Obama’s fateful decision to
sacrifice Poland’s interests in missile defense on behalf of a pursuit of a pyrrhic
strategic arms control deal with Russia.

That is a lot of self-inflicted wounds to bring into any
crisis, let alone one as daunting as this one. Still, I wonder if the
systematic misunderstanding about coalition politics that the tired “unilateralism”
canard reveals might not be the most unfortunate.

For Obama to succeed in marshaling a united
front against Putin, he may have to do more than just show uncharacteristic
resolve. He may have to show an even more uncharacteristic willingness to admit
where he has been wrong in the past. Getting Europe to take painful steps now
is hard under the best of circumstances, but it is harder still — and
needlessly so — unless he is unwilling to give greater regard to their earlier
sacrifices.

Ron Sachs-Pool/Getty Images

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